Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.280195 0.326146 0.377371 0.438733 0.510285 0.591138 0.689514
2025-02-09 0.211769 0.273503 0.349856 0.451364 0.583016 0.748333 0.972263
2025-02-16 0.172980 0.239842 0.328625 0.455409 0.632338 0.871297 1.219971
2025-02-23 0.144740 0.212587 0.308023 0.452484 0.666502 0.973297 1.449125
2025-03-02 0.121175 0.187003 0.284308 0.439184 0.680787 1.045438 1.641741
2025-03-09 0.109112 0.176055 0.279525 0.451850 0.733514 1.178929 1.943141
2025-03-16 0.097003 0.162961 0.269119 0.453353 0.767539 1.285950 2.215271
2025-03-23 0.088326 0.154033 0.263828 0.461801 0.813002 1.415864 2.541682
2025-03-30 0.078135 0.141041 0.249864 0.453147 0.827194 1.493261 2.785283
2025-04-06 0.070177 0.130861 0.239325 0.448820 0.847849 1.583499 3.062834
2025-04-13 0.064101 0.123279 0.232385 0.449930 0.878162 1.694232 3.392750
2025-04-20 0.061283 0.121435 0.235722 0.470732 0.948370 1.888357 3.911437
2025-04-27 0.058419 0.119272 0.238426 0.491138 1.021499 2.099535 4.499271
2025-05-04 0.055016 0.115625 0.237809 0.504838 1.082975 2.295628 5.085064
2025-05-11 0.051071 0.110331 0.233160 0.509382 1.125466 2.457081 5.617820
2025-05-18 0.046856 0.103924 0.225384 0.506104 1.150289 2.583255 6.088551
2025-05-25 0.042154 0.095862 0.213095 0.491198 1.146932 2.646183 6.420730
2025-06-01 0.040201 0.093738 0.213582 0.505394 1.212424 2.874081 7.180232
2025-06-08 0.037514 0.089585 0.208991 0.507078 1.248348 3.037002 7.802532
2025-06-15 0.035596 0.087012 0.207729 0.516546 1.304342 3.255075 8.595935
2025-06-22 0.032654 0.081607 0.199136 0.506847 1.311065 3.352008 9.086505
2025-06-29 0.030278 0.077324 0.192776 0.501997 1.329597 3.481179 9.682499
2025-07-06 0.028446 0.074209 0.188955 0.503241 1.364326 3.656874 10.432746